Daily Signal Report · September 6, 2026
Macro Signal Report
Overall Macro Regime
MIXED SIGNALS
19
Bullish
5
Bearish
22
Neutral
1
Awaiting data
46 of 47 signals scored this cycle.
Bullish Signals (19)
SignalCategoryStatus
10Y TIPS Breakeven Inflation Rate Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
AAR Rail Traffic (Intermodal) Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF (BDRY) Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
Copper Futures (COMEX HG) AI Infrastructure ▲ Bullish
Durable Goods Orders ex. Defense Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
High-Yield Credit Spread (ICE BofA) Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
Industrial Production: Nuclear Electric Power (Fed G.17) Power & Nuclear ▲ Bullish
Job Openings: Retail Trade Consumer ▲ Bullish
Layoffs & Discharges Rate (BLS JOLTS) Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
M2 Money Supply Growth Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
Manufacturers' New Orders: Capital Goods ex-Defense & Aircraft Supply Chain ▲ Bullish
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (ISM PMI proxy) Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
Retail Sales ex. Auto & Gas Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
Total Business Inventory/Sales Ratio Supply Chain ▲ Bullish
US Dollar Index (DXY) Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
Uranium Market (URA ETF Proxy) Power & Nuclear ▲ Bullish
WTI Crude Oil (Daily) Macro & Liquidity ▲ Bullish
Bearish Signals (5)
SignalCategoryStatus
10-Year Treasury Yield Macro & Liquidity ▼ Bearish
CPI: Food at Home (USDA Proxy) Macro & Liquidity ▼ Bearish
Housing Starts (New Residential Construction) Macro & Liquidity ▼ Bearish
Lumber Futures (Housing Proxy) Macro & Liquidity ▼ Bearish
Total US Construction Spending Industrials ▼ Bearish
Neutral Signals (22)
SignalCategoryStatus
ATA Trucking Tonnage Index Macro & Liquidity ● Neutral
Copper/Gold Ratio Macro & Liquidity ● Neutral
Credit Card Delinquency Rate (All Commercial Banks) Financials & Credit ● Neutral
E-Commerce Share of Total Retail Sales Consumer ● Neutral
FDA Drug Approval Velocity (openFDA) Healthcare & Biotech ● Neutral
Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot AI Infrastructure ● Neutral
Hyperscaler CapEx (MSFT+AMZN+GOOGL+META) AI Infrastructure ● Neutral
Industrial Production: Electric Power Utilities (Fed G.17) Power & Nuclear ● Neutral
Initial Jobless Claims (WARN Proxy) Macro & Liquidity ● Neutral
Investment Grade Credit (LQD ETF) Macro & Liquidity ● Neutral
JOLTS Job Openings (Labor Demand) Macro & Liquidity ● Neutral
NY Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index Supply Chain ● Neutral
Quantum Computing arXiv Paper Velocity Macro & Liquidity ● Neutral
Retail Fear Index (Google Trends) Macro & Liquidity ● Neutral
SOXX Semiconductor ETF AI Infrastructure ● Neutral
Senior Loan Officer Survey — C&I Lending Standards Financials & Credit ● Neutral
U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Macro & Liquidity ● Neutral
US Crude Oil Inventories (EIA Weekly) Energy & Oil ● Neutral
US Natural Gas Storage (EIA Weekly) Energy & Oil ● Neutral
US Retail Gasoline Price Energy & Oil ● Neutral
VIX Term Structure (9D/30D Ratio) Macro & Liquidity ● Neutral
Yield Curve Spread (10Y–2Y) Macro & Liquidity ● Neutral
Awaiting Data (1)
These signals have no usable reading in the latest scoring cycle. They are excluded from the regime calculation rather than counted as neutral.
SignalCategoryStatus
Fed Policy Hawkishness (FOMC AI Score) Macro & Liquidity ○ No data

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See how today's macro signals affect the individual equities you follow. Unstructured Alpha's Confluence Score aggregates 47 macro signals into a single 0–100 number, updated as FRED, EIA, and SEC data arrives.

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Scores are derived from macro signals (FRED, EIA, SEC filings, FINRA short interest) and updated as new data arrives. This is not financial advice. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future results.
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