Average US retail price of regular grade gasoline. Acts as a direct consumer income tax. Each +10¢/gallon costs US consumers ~$14B/year. High gas prices divert spending from discretionary goods.
Gas price spikes directly reduce consumer discretionary spending within 4–6 weeks. Disproportionate impact on lower-income households who spend larger % of income on gas.
| Factor family | Consumer |
| Relative weight | Supporting |
| Update cadence | Weekly |
| Modeled lead | ~4 weeks (a modeling assumption, not a validated finding) |
| Data source | FRED |
The lead time above is a design assumption, not an out-of-sample-validated relationship for a specific security or index. This is one Consumer input among 47; it measures macro context, not a full investment thesis.
XLY · AMZN · TGT · WMT · MCD · XOM · CVX
| Date | Score | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 36/100 | ● Neutral |
| 2026-09-05 | 36/100 | ● Neutral |
| 2026-09-04 | 36/100 | ● Neutral |
| 2026-09-03 | 36/100 | ● Neutral |
| 2026-09-02 | 36/100 | ● Neutral |
| 2026-09-01 | 35/100 | ▼ Bearish |
| 2026-08-31 | 35/100 | ▼ Bearish |
Unstructured Alpha weighs US Retail Gasoline Price alongside 46 other macro signals to build a Confluence Score for each stock. See how this signal is currently shaping the macro backdrop for the tickers you follow.
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Scores are derived from macro signals (FRED, EIA, SEC filings, FINRA short interest)
and updated as new data arrives. This is not financial advice. Past signal accuracy
does not guarantee future results.
unstructuredalpha.com · Not financial advice