10-year US Treasury yield. Rising rates = headwind for growth stocks, real estate, and rate-sensitive sectors. Falling rates = tailwind for utilities, REITs, long-duration assets.
Discount rate for all equity valuations. When 10Y rises above ~4.5%, growth stock multiples compress because risk-free rate competes with equity risk premium.
| Factor family | Rates |
| Relative weight | Core |
| Update cadence | Daily |
| Modeled lead | ~3 weeks (a modeling assumption, not a validated finding) |
| Data source | YFINANCE |
The lead time above is a design assumption, not an out-of-sample-validated relationship for a specific security or index. This is one Rates input among 47; it measures macro context, not a full investment thesis.
TLT · TBF · TMF · XLU · VNQ · KRE · SPY · QQQ
| Date | Score | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 28/100 | ▼ Bearish |
| 2026-09-05 | 28/100 | ▼ Bearish |
| 2026-09-04 | 30/100 | ▼ Bearish |
| 2026-09-03 | 24/100 | ▼ Bearish |
| 2026-09-02 | 23/100 | ▼ Bearish |
| 2026-09-01 | 28/100 | ▼ Bearish |
| 2026-08-31 | 32/100 | ▼ Bearish |
Unstructured Alpha weighs 10-Year Treasury Yield alongside 46 other macro signals to build a Confluence Score for each stock. See how this signal is currently shaping the macro backdrop for the tickers you follow.
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Scores are derived from macro signals (FRED, EIA, SEC filings, FINRA short interest)
and updated as new data arrives. This is not financial advice. Past signal accuracy
does not guarantee future results.
unstructuredalpha.com · Not financial advice