iShares Semiconductor ETF. Semiconductors lead the tech cycle by 2–3 quarters. SOXX is a proxy for the global AI infrastructure build.
Semiconductor cycle historically leads broad tech earnings by 6–9 months. SOXX book-to-bill ratio above 1.1 signals accelerating orders.
| Factor family | Capex & Technology |
| Relative weight | Supporting |
| Update cadence | Daily |
| Modeled lead | ~8 weeks (a modeling assumption, not a validated finding) |
| Data source | YFINANCE |
The lead time above is a design assumption, not an out-of-sample-validated relationship for a specific security or index. This is one Capex & Technology input among 47; it measures macro context, not a full investment thesis.
NVDA · AMD · AVGO · AMAT · LRCX · KLAC · MRVL · SMCI
| Date | Score | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 41/100 | ● Neutral |
| 2026-09-05 | 41/100 | ● Neutral |
| 2026-09-04 | 33/100 | ▼ Bearish |
| 2026-09-03 | 33/100 | ▼ Bearish |
| 2026-09-02 | 32/100 | ▼ Bearish |
| 2026-09-01 | 36/100 | ● Neutral |
| 2026-08-31 | 34/100 | ▼ Bearish |
Unstructured Alpha weighs SOXX Semiconductor ETF alongside 46 other macro signals to build a Confluence Score for each stock. See how this signal is currently shaping the macro backdrop for the tickers you follow.
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Scores are derived from macro signals (FRED, EIA, SEC filings, FINRA short interest)
and updated as new data arrives. This is not financial advice. Past signal accuracy
does not guarantee future results.
unstructuredalpha.com · Not financial advice