Macro & Liquidity Signal
Quantum Computing arXiv Paper Velocity
Current Status
● Neutral
52/100
Updated 2026-09-06
About This Signal

Weekly count of arXiv quant-ph preprints on qubit error correction and fault-tolerant quantum computing. This is genuine alternative data — actual research output, not a stock price — though it is a thin, unbacktested signal with a short documented track record. PCS is intentionally low until enough history accumulates to test it properly.

Why the model watches it

Peer-reviewed papers from Google Quantum AI, IBM Research, and Microsoft Station Q appear on arXiv 2–6 weeks before press releases. A sustained spike in publication velocity from major labs has, in a small number of observed cases, preceded institutional rotation into quantum stocks.

How the model treats this signal
Factor familyCapex & Technology
Relative weightSupporting
Update cadenceWeekly
Modeled lead~4 weeks (a modeling assumption, not a validated finding)
Data sourceARXIV
Known limitations

The lead time above is a design assumption, not an out-of-sample-validated relationship for a specific security or index. This is one Capex & Technology input among 47; it measures macro context, not a full investment thesis.

Relevant Tickers

IONQ · RGTI · QBTS · IBM · MSFT · GOOGL

Recent History (30 days)
DateScoreStatus
2026-09-06 52/100 ● Neutral
2026-09-05 52/100 ● Neutral
2026-09-04 52/100 ● Neutral
2026-09-03 38/100 ● Neutral
2026-09-02 29/100 ▼ Bearish
2026-09-01 24/100 ▼ Bearish
2026-08-31 38/100 ● Neutral

Track This Signal in Real Time

Unstructured Alpha weighs Quantum Computing arXiv Paper Velocity alongside 46 other macro signals to build a Confluence Score for each stock. See how this signal is currently shaping the macro backdrop for the tickers you follow.

Open Signal Dashboard →

Scores are derived from macro signals (FRED, EIA, SEC filings, FINRA short interest) and updated as new data arrives. This is not financial advice. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future results.
unstructuredalpha.com · Not financial advice