IBIT vs F
- 2 of 19 forces clearly differ
- Data through Oct 30, 2026
- Market move removed first
IBIT and F clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is bitcoin: in weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%, IBIT typically moved +10.1% and F +0.47%.
| Economic force | IBITiShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | FFord Motor Company |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.5%−3.8% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.5%−4.0% to −1.0%Clear |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +8.5%+2.5% to +14.6%Tentative | +6.1%+1.3% to +10.9%Tentative |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −2.9%−6.6% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero | −3.0%−5.0% to −1.0%Tentative |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.35%−1.9% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.54%−1.8% to +0.74%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −0.59%−7.5% to +6.4%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.51%−4.3% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +1.6%−1.5% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.14%−3.3% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.07%−1.9% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.51%−2.1% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.12%−2.2% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.84%−0.77% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +0.39%−1.2% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.75%−1.7% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | −0.79%−2.0% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.17%−0.87% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | −0.04%−0.11% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.03%−0.07% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%Clear difference | +10.1%+9.9% to +10.3%Clear | +0.47%−0.32% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.77%+0.25% to +1.3%Tentative | +0.60%+0.19% to +1.0%Tentative |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | −0.25%−0.90% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.48%+0.02% to +0.93%Tentative |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | +0.25%−0.21% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.08%−0.49% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −1.4%−5.5% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.0%−1.9% to +4.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference | +1.7%+0.25% to +3.1%Tentative | −1.6%−3.0% to −0.15%Tentative |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | +0.22%−0.22% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.24%−0.05% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | −0.02%−0.24% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.11%−0.33% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.