Stocks exposed to inflation expectations
Of 2 stocks on record, 0 moved up with inflation expectations in a way that held up and 1 moved down with it. The other 1 showed no link that could be told apart from noise.
Inflation erodes fixed payments and changes which businesses keep their margins.
Moved up with inflation expectations
No stock on record moved up with inflation expectations in a way that held up.
Moved down with inflation expectations
| Stock | Typical weekly move | 90% range | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDANvidia | −6.4% | −9.9% to −2.9% | Clear |
Each figure is a stock's typical move in a week when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points, after accounting for the stock market, over three years of weekly returns. Only readings that held up are ranked (Clear needs |t| ≥ 2.58, shared across the five core forces). The stocks on record are the S&P 500, measured weekly, plus any stock a visitor has opened.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. A stock that moved with inflation expectations over the last three years may not do so over the next three, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.