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XLY vs VLTO

XLY and VLTO clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is value vs growth: in weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point, XLY typically moved −0.06% and VLTO +0.36%.

XLYVLTOBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceXLYConsumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR FundVLTOVeralto
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−1.5% to −0.70%Clear−1.7%−2.6% to −0.76%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.0%+0.82% to +3.2%Clear+1.7%−0.41% to +3.9%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.16%−0.47% to +0.79%Not distinguishable from zero+0.23%−0.73% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.59%−1.0% to −0.21%Tentative−0.56%−1.1% to −0.06%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.40%−1.2% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero−0.62%−2.3% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.72%−1.8% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero+0.39%−1.3% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.29%−0.22% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero−0.21%−0.89% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.13%−0.38% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero−0.34%−1.2% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.02%−0.41% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero−0.29%−1.0% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.06%−0.32% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero−0.19%−0.63% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%0.00%−0.02% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.05% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.38%+0.09% to +0.67%Tentative+0.31%−0.42% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.09%−0.04% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero+0.26%+0.03% to +0.49%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.06%−0.21% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero+0.36%+0.10% to +0.62%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.24%−0.39% to −0.09%Tentative−0.37%−0.60% to −0.15%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.50%−0.26% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.34%−2.0% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.06%−0.36% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero+0.56%−0.16% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.11%−0.22% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−0.25%−0.56% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.08%+0.01% to +0.14%Tentative+0.24%+0.10% to +0.37%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.