UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

XLRE vs VICI

On none of the 19 forces measured do XLRE and VICI differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

XLREVICIBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceXLREReal Estate Select Sector SPDR FundVICIVici Properties
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.8%−3.4% to −2.2%Clear−2.5%−3.5% to −1.5%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.1%+0.65% to +3.5%Tentative+2.9%+1.2% to +4.6%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.86%−1.5% to −0.21%Tentative−1.5%−2.4% to −0.62%Clear
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.29%−0.11% to +0.68%Not distinguishable from zero+0.06%−0.43% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.31%−1.7% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.26%−1.8% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.70%−1.8% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero−1.9%−3.5% to −0.32%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.74%−1.2% to −0.25%Tentative−0.88%−1.6% to −0.18%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points0.00%−0.60% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero−0.22%−1.1% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.02%−0.53% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero+0.50%−0.13% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.15%−0.28% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero+0.21%−0.26% to +0.68%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.03%−0.04% to −0.02%Clear−0.03%−0.04% to −0.01%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%0.00%−0.41% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero+0.08%−0.49% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.47%+0.35% to +0.59%Clear+0.42%+0.22% to +0.63%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.60%+0.50% to +0.71%Clear+0.78%+0.66% to +0.90%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.12%−0.26% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.38%−0.55% to −0.21%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.3%−2.4% to −0.20%Tentative−0.40%−1.9% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.49%+0.07% to +0.91%Tentative+0.39%−0.21% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.08%−0.25% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero−0.13%−0.33% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.08%−0.01% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero+0.12%−0.01% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure XLRE and VICI togetherWhat if? Move a force

Your portfolio, measured the same way

Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.