XLE vs XOM
- 0 of 19 forces clearly differ
- Data through Oct 30, 2026
- Market move removed first
On none of the 19 forces measured do XLE and XOM differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR Fund | XOMExxonMobil |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.18%−1.2% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.12%−1.3% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +3.0%+0.27% to +5.8%Tentative | +2.3%−0.76% to +5.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −0.37%−1.6% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.46%−1.8% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | +2.6%+1.5% to +3.7%Clear | +2.7%+1.3% to +4.0%Clear |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | +0.02%−1.6% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.56%−1.4% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.36%−1.3% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.32%−1.5% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −1.7%−2.8% to −0.69%Tentative | −1.4%−2.6% to −0.21%Tentative |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.65%−0.16% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.37%−0.53% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.34%−1.0% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.13%−0.52% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.53%0.00% to +1.1%Tentative | +0.59%+0.05% to +1.1%Tentative |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | +0.02%−0.01% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.02%−0.01% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.50%−1.2% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.61%−1.3% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.54%+0.31% to +0.76%Clear | +0.47%+0.23% to +0.71%Clear |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +1.0%+0.78% to +1.1%Clear | +1.0%+0.78% to +1.2%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.19%−0.41% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.29%−0.54% to −0.04%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −2.3%−3.9% to −0.76%Tentative | −2.0%−3.7% to −0.34%Tentative |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.50%−1.2% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.42%−1.2% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | +0.03%−0.28% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.02%−0.34% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.14%+0.02% to +0.26%Tentative | +0.20%+0.07% to +0.33%Tentative |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.