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XLC vs AIG

XLC and AIG clearly differ on 4 of 19 forces. The widest gap is market volatility: in weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points, XLC typically moved +0.30% and AIG −1.1%.

XLCAIGBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceXLCCommunication Services Select Sector SPDR FundAIGAmerican International Group
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.09%−0.38% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−1.1% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.30%−1.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%−0.91% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.52%−1.0% to −0.01%Tentative−0.58%−1.9% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.01%−0.38% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−0.51% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.07%−1.0% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.83%−1.2% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.53%−1.3% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero+0.59%−0.81% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 pointsClear difference+0.30%−0.12% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−1.9% to −0.30%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.32%−0.83% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero+0.32%−0.54% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.14%−0.27% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero−0.72%−1.5% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.11%−0.34% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero+0.07%−0.41% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference+0.02%+0.01% to +0.02%Clear−0.02%−0.05% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.04%−0.31% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero−0.25%−0.80% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.25%−0.38% to −0.13%Clear+0.24%−0.05% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.15%−0.24% to −0.05%Tentative+0.69%+0.49% to +0.90%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.17%−0.27% to −0.07%Tentative−0.39%−0.58% to −0.20%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.1%+0.27% to +1.9%Tentative−0.71%−2.1% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.22%−0.10% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero−0.32%−0.92% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.13%−0.24% to −0.03%Tentative−0.35%−0.59% to −0.10%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.08%+0.02% to +0.14%Tentative+0.24%+0.12% to +0.37%Clear
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.