UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

VNQ vs KIM

On none of the 19 forces measured do VNQ and KIM differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

VNQKIMBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceVNQVanguard Real Estate ETFKIMKimco Realty
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.9%−3.4% to −2.3%Clear−3.2%−5.1% to −1.3%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.5%+1.1% to +3.9%Clear+3.2%+0.26% to +6.2%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.71%−1.3% to −0.09%Tentative−0.50%−1.7% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.21%−0.19% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.70% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.30%−1.6% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−3.7% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.80%−1.9% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero−2.0%−4.1% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.78%−1.2% to −0.32%Tentative−1.0%−1.8% to −0.19%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.02%−0.60% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero+0.56%−0.41% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.01%−0.54% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero−0.56%−1.5% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.13%−0.27% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero−0.08%−0.76% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.03%−0.03% to −0.02%Clear−0.03%−0.06% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.02%−0.37% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero−0.34%−1.0% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.53%+0.41% to +0.64%Clear+0.83%+0.60% to +1.1%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.62%+0.51% to +0.72%Clear+0.86%+0.66% to +1.1%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.14%−0.27% to 0.00%Tentative−0.28%−0.55% to −0.01%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.2%−2.3% to −0.12%Tentative−0.50%−2.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.41%−0.01% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero+0.75%+0.03% to +1.5%Tentative
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.07%−0.24% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero−0.25%−0.47% to −0.02%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.07%−0.01% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero+0.05%−0.09% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure VNQ and KIM togetherWhat if? Move a force

Your portfolio, measured the same way

Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.