TLT vs PODD
- 4 of 19 forces clearly differ
- Data through Oct 30, 2026
- Market move removed first
TLT and PODD clearly differ on 4 of 19 forces. The widest gap is emerging markets: in weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point, TLT typically moved −0.02% and PODD −0.66%.
| Economic force | TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | PODDInsulet Corporation |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −3.8%−4.0% to −3.5%Clear | −3.3%−5.3% to −1.3%Clear |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.89%−1.4% to −0.41%Clear | +1.7%−2.5% to +5.9%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | +0.37%+0.15% to +0.59%Clear | +0.90%−1.2% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | +0.02%−0.07% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.53%−1.5% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −2.1%−2.4% to −1.7%Clear | −3.6%−6.4% to −0.74%Tentative |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.74%+0.51% to +1.0%Clear | −1.0%−3.4% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.08%−0.10% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.1%−2.5% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.06%−0.21% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.0%−2.6% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +0.01%−0.08% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.05%−1.5% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.04%−0.05% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.11%−0.72% to +0.94%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference | 0.00%−0.01% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.04%−0.06% to −0.02%Clear |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | +0.05%−0.05% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.18%−1.0% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | −0.02%−0.05% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.22%−0.12% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.01%−0.02% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.12%−0.23% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference | +0.01%−0.02% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.52%−0.93% to −0.11%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | 0.00%−0.31% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.9%−5.3% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.09%−0.02% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.24%−0.80% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference | −0.02%−0.06% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.66%−1.1% to −0.23%Tentative |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage pointClear difference | −0.01%−0.02% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.29%+0.02% to +0.56%Tentative |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.