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ON vs NVDA · data through Oct 2, 2026

ON and NVDA clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is small vs large companies: in weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point, ON typically moved +0.75% and NVDA −0.70%.

ONNVDABars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceONON SemiconductorNVDANvidia
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.9%−1.3% to +5.2%Not distinguishable from zero+2.2%+1.3% to +3.2%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−5.5%−11.6% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero−6.4%−9.9% to −3.0%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.30%−2.9% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero+1.6%−0.46% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+1.6%−0.40% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero+1.2%+0.49% to +1.9%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.53%−5.3% to +6.4%Not distinguishable from zero+1.2%−1.5% to +3.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.3%−6.5% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero+3.4%+0.54% to +6.2%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.04%−2.2% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%+0.06% to +2.6%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.67%−1.1% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.87%−0.48% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.06%−2.2% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.48%−1.5% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.24%−1.3% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero−0.44%−1.3% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.04% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−0.01% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.14%−1.3% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.83%+0.11% to +1.6%Tentative
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.75%+0.18% to +1.3%Tentative−0.70%−1.0% to −0.38%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.07%−0.63% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−1.6% to −0.82%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.63%+0.15% to +1.1%Tentative+0.81%+0.41% to +1.2%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.3%−4.6% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−4.7% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.5%−0.25% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.43%−1.5% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.4%+1.0% to +1.9%Clear+0.11%−0.19% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.21%−0.51% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.22% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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