UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

IBIT vs BEN

IBIT and BEN clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is bitcoin: in weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%, IBIT typically moved +10.1% and BEN +0.35%.

IBITBENBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceIBITiShares Bitcoin Trust ETFBENFranklin Resources
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−3.8% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero−2.0%−3.8% to −0.21%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+8.5%+2.5% to +14.6%Tentative+6.5%+3.2% to +9.7%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−2.9%−6.6% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−3.0% to −0.20%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.35%−1.9% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.53%−1.2% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.59%−7.5% to +6.4%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−3.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.6%−1.5% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero−1.8%−4.3% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.07%−1.9% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.43%−0.64% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.12%−2.2% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.41%−1.3% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.39%−1.2% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.57%−1.4% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.79%−2.0% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero−0.58%−1.2% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.04%−0.11% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−0.08% to −0.02%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%Clear difference+10.1%+9.9% to +10.3%Clear+0.35%−0.31% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.77%+0.25% to +1.3%Tentative+0.55%+0.33% to +0.77%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point−0.25%−0.90% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero+0.60%+0.36% to +0.83%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.25%−0.21% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero−0.28%−0.59% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.4%−5.5% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.62%−3.1% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.7%+0.25% to +3.1%Tentative+0.40%−0.45% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.22%−0.22% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−0.17% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.02%−0.24% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero−0.06%−0.18% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure IBIT and BEN togetherWhat if? Move a force

Your portfolio, measured the same way

Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.