UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

IBIT vs ALB

IBIT and ALB clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is bitcoin: in weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%, IBIT typically moved +10.1% and ALB +1.5%.

IBITALBBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceIBITiShares Bitcoin Trust ETFALBAlbemarle Corporation
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−3.8% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero−1.8%−4.5% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+8.5%+2.5% to +14.6%Tentative+7.2%−0.28% to +14.7%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−2.9%−6.6% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero−4.3%−7.6% to −1.0%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.35%−1.9% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.48%−1.9% to +0.92%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.59%−7.5% to +6.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.71%−4.5% to +5.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.6%−1.5% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.19%−4.5% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.07%−1.9% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.88%−2.9% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.12%−2.2% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero+2.0%−0.20% to +4.2%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.39%−1.2% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.6%−0.54% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%Clear difference−0.79%−2.0% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero+2.5%+1.5% to +3.5%Clear
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.04%−0.11% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero+0.13%+0.01% to +0.26%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%Clear difference+10.1%+9.9% to +10.3%Clear+1.5%+0.02% to +3.0%Tentative
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.77%+0.25% to +1.3%Tentative+1.2%+0.59% to +1.9%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point−0.25%−0.90% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero+0.59%+0.12% to +1.1%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.25%−0.21% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero−0.43%−1.1% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.4%−5.5% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.84%−5.1% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference+1.7%+0.25% to +3.1%Tentative−1.7%−3.6% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.22%−0.22% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero+0.88%+0.45% to +1.3%Clear
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.02%−0.24% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero+0.31%−0.04% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure IBIT and ALB togetherWhat if? Move a force

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.