UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

FXI vs VXUS

FXI and VXUS clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is china: in weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point, FXI typically moved +1.0% and VXUS 0.00%.

FXIVXUSBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceFXIiShares China Large-Cap ETFVXUSVanguard Total International Stock ETF
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.95%−0.57% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.07%−0.49% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−0.73%−3.5% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.73%−0.31% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−4.2%−5.6% to −2.7%Clear−2.8%−3.3% to −2.4%Clear
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%Clear difference+0.49%−0.20% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.48%−0.74% to −0.22%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.2%−3.9% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.29%−1.1% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.26%−1.8% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%−0.50% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.48%−1.4% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero−0.95%−1.2% to −0.68%Clear
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.0%−0.17% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.43%+0.07% to +0.79%Tentative
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.25%−0.95% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero+0.43%+0.21% to +0.66%Clear
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+1.3%+0.59% to +2.0%Clear+0.49%+0.19% to +0.79%Tentative
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%0.00%−0.03% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero0.00%−0.01% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.13%−0.67% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero−0.07%−0.26% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point−0.06%−0.28% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero+0.17%+0.08% to +0.25%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.18%−0.01% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero+0.17%+0.08% to +0.27%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.32%−0.49% to −0.15%Clear+0.11%+0.01% to +0.21%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.3%−4.3% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.46%−1.4% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.51%−1.5% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero−0.15%−0.41% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.92%+0.35% to +1.5%Tentative+0.41%+0.35% to +0.48%Clear
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.0%+0.76% to +1.2%Clear0.00%−0.07% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure FXI and VXUS togetherWhat if? Move a force

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.