UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

EWJ vs PFE

EWJ and PFE clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is momentum: in weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point, EWJ typically moved +0.29% and PFE −0.80%.

EWJPFEBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceEWJiShares MSCI Japan ETFPFEPfizer
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.11%−0.74% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero−0.35%−2.6% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.7%−0.14% to +3.5%Not distinguishable from zero+2.2%−1.4% to +5.9%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−2.4%−3.1% to −1.6%Clear−2.2%−3.9% to −0.44%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.66%−1.2% to −0.18%Tentative−0.16%−0.94% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.04%−1.6% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.57%−2.6% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.06%−1.3% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.38%−1.4% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.4%−1.9% to −0.85%Clear−0.11%−1.3% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.0%+0.39% to +1.7%Tentative+0.88%−0.39% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.30%−0.18% to +0.77%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.91% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.08%−0.39% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero+0.59%−0.11% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.01%−0.04% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero0.00%−0.03% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.43%−0.82% to −0.03%Tentative+0.23%−0.84% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.17%+0.03% to +0.31%Tentative+0.34%+0.10% to +0.58%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.12%−0.07% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero+0.53%+0.31% to +0.74%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.29%+0.17% to +0.42%Clear−0.80%−1.1% to −0.46%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.06%−1.3% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.07%−2.1% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.23%−0.34% to +0.80%Not distinguishable from zero+0.77%−0.32% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.36%+0.22% to +0.51%Clear+0.01%−0.28% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.12%−0.23% to −0.02%Tentative+0.13%−0.04% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure EWJ and PFE togetherWhat if? Move a force

Your portfolio, measured the same way

Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.