UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

ARKK vs ZBH

ARKK and ZBH clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is bitcoin: in weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%, ARKK typically moved +2.5% and ZBH −0.01%.

ARKKZBHBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceARKKARK Innovation ETFZBHZimmer Biomet
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−2.7% to −0.34%Tentative−2.0%−3.2% to −0.74%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.7%−0.83% to +6.2%Not distinguishable from zero+2.5%−0.86% to +5.8%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.42%−2.1% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.90%−2.5% to +0.73%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.49%−1.4% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.77%−1.6% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.3%−4.7% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero−2.3%−5.1% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.56%−2.6% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.26%−2.2% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.07%−1.1% to +0.93%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−1.0% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.06%−1.1% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.15%−0.92% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.51%−0.40% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.08%−1.1% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%0.00%−0.61% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero+0.61%−0.08% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.07% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.01%−0.03% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%Clear difference+2.5%+1.9% to +3.0%Clear−0.01%−0.78% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.62%+0.36% to +0.89%Clear+0.38%+0.13% to +0.63%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.55%−0.85% to −0.25%Clear+0.61%+0.40% to +0.82%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.22%−0.09% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero−0.56%−1.0% to −0.15%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.60%−2.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.13%−2.0% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.54%−0.27% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.67%−1.6% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.29%0.00% to +0.58%Tentative−0.06%−0.39% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.18%−0.34% to −0.02%Tentative+0.13%−0.02% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure ARKK and ZBH togetherWhat if? Move a force

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.