ARKK vs ABNB
- 2 of 19 forces clearly differ
- Data through Oct 30, 2026
- Market move removed first
ARKK and ABNB clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is bitcoin: in weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%, ARKK typically moved +2.5% and ABNB +0.28%.
| Economic force | ARKKARK Innovation ETF | ABNBAirbnb |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.5%−2.7% to −0.34%Tentative | −1.2%−2.6% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +2.7%−0.83% to +6.2%Not distinguishable from zero | +4.0%+0.72% to +7.3%Tentative |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −0.42%−2.1% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.04%−1.9% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.49%−1.4% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.35%−1.3% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −2.3%−4.7% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.8%−4.8% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.56%−2.6% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.3%−3.6% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −0.07%−1.1% to +0.93%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.95%+0.01% to +1.9%Tentative |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.06%−1.1% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | +2.0%+0.58% to +3.4%Tentative |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +0.51%−0.40% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.45%−0.61% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | 0.00%−0.61% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.27%−0.49% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | −0.02%−0.07% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.01%−0.02% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%Clear difference | +2.5%+1.9% to +3.0%Clear | +0.28%−0.36% to +0.92%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.62%+0.36% to +0.89%Clear | +0.22%−0.12% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference | −0.55%−0.85% to −0.25%Clear | +0.09%−0.19% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | +0.22%−0.09% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.41%−0.74% to −0.08%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.60%−2.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.6%−0.59% to +3.9%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.54%−0.27% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.58%−1.8% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | +0.29%0.00% to +0.58%Tentative | −0.05%−0.32% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | −0.18%−0.34% to −0.02%Tentative | 0.00%−0.18% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.