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XYZ vs BBY · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do XYZ and BBY differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

XYZBBYBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceXYZBlock, Inc.BBYBest Buy
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.7%−4.6% to −0.76%Tentative−1.8%−3.4% to −0.24%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.2%−2.3% to +6.8%Not distinguishable from zero+3.3%−1.1% to +7.8%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.28%−2.1% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.34%−2.0% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.46%−2.0% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.27%−1.9% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−4.1%−9.6% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−4.1%−7.4% to −0.85%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.7%−6.0% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero−5.3%−8.1% to −2.4%Clear
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.58%−0.86% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−2.8% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.58%−2.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+1.2%−0.81% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.32%−1.3% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−0.44%−1.5% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.26%−0.87% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.73% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%0.00%−0.06% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.07% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+1.5%+0.22% to +2.9%Tentative−0.59%−1.4% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.31%−0.27% to +0.89%Not distinguishable from zero+0.68%+0.28% to +1.1%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point0.00%−0.49% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero+0.75%+0.39% to +1.1%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.28%−0.72% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero−0.36%−1.1% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+2.7%−1.9% to +7.4%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−4.3% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.1%−2.4% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero+0.23%−1.1% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.41%−0.89% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero+0.19%−0.38% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.21%−0.51% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−0.25% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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