Compare two stocks
WYNN and CARR clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is short-term rates: in weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points, WYNN typically moved −1.7% and CARR +4.2%.
| Economic force | WYNNWynn Resorts | CARRCarrier Global |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.12%−1.6% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.0%−2.0% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +4.6%+1.2% to +8.0%Tentative | +3.4%+0.09% to +6.7%Tentative |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −1.7%−3.5% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.0%−3.8% to −0.15%Tentative |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.67%−1.5% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.87%−1.7% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | +1.0%−2.6% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.3%−2.4% to +5.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage pointsClear difference | −1.7%−4.2% to +0.89%Not distinguishable from zero | +4.2%+1.8% to +6.7%Tentative |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −0.81%−2.1% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.0%−1.8% to −0.09%Tentative |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.55%−2.2% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.86%−2.0% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.44%−1.3% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.9%−3.0% to −0.84%Tentative |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.03%−0.87% to +0.94%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.13%−1.7% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | 0.00%−0.03% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.02%0.00% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.63%−1.5% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.05%−0.94% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.14%−0.31% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.61%+0.35% to +0.86%Clear |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.52%+0.22% to +0.81%Tentative | +0.63%+0.30% to +1.0%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.11%−0.55% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.39%−0.04% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.93%−4.1% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.3%−5.4% to +0.93%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −1.6%−2.6% to −0.55%Tentative | −0.31%−1.4% to +0.79%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | +0.58%−0.04% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.20%−0.07% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage pointClear difference | +0.57%+0.17% to +1.0%Tentative | −0.08%−0.28% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.