Compare two stocks
WTW and TDG clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is momentum: in weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point, WTW typically moved −0.69% and TDG +0.35%.
| Economic force | WTWWillis Towers Watson | TDGTransDigm Group |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.30%−1.8% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.28%−1.1% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.80%−1.5% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.57%−2.4% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | +0.76%−0.79% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.77%−0.53% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −1.0%−1.7% to −0.27%Tentative | −0.93%−1.8% to −0.07%Tentative |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −1.0%−3.8% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.3%−4.0% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −2.0%−3.7% to −0.23%Tentative | −0.25%−2.4% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −1.1%−2.1% to −0.17%Tentative | −0.03%−1.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.47%−0.68% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.68%−2.2% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +0.48%−0.31% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.57%−1.4% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.25%−0.33% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.12%−0.33% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | 0.00%−0.03% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.01%−0.03% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.14%−0.91% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.44%−1.3% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.16%−0.08% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.16%−0.42% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.47%+0.18% to +0.77%Tentative | 0.00%−0.30% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference | −0.69%−1.0% to −0.34%Clear | +0.35%+0.11% to +0.59%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.09%−1.3% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.14%−1.9% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.25%−1.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.45%−1.2% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.45%−0.76% to −0.14%Tentative | +0.05%−0.21% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage pointClear difference | +0.40%+0.15% to +0.64%Tentative | −0.04%−0.16% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.