UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

Compare two stocks

WFC vs GS · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do WFC and GS differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

Economic forceWFCWells FargoGSGoldman Sachs
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.7%−3.0% to −0.47%Tentative−1.9%−2.7% to −1.0%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+6.8%+3.6% to +10.0%Clear+4.1%+1.8% to +6.4%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.82%−1.1% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.18%−1.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.66%−1.5% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero−0.17%−0.84% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−4.9%−8.3% to −1.5%Tentative−2.9%−5.4% to −0.35%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.57%−1.5% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.68%−0.86% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.5%−2.5% to −0.43%Tentative−1.1%−1.8% to −0.37%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.6%+0.37% to +2.9%Tentative+0.53%−0.88% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.2%−2.0% to −0.43%Tentative−1.4%−2.0% to −0.88%Clear
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.17%−0.54% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero−0.34%−0.87% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.04%−0.10% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−0.09% to −0.02%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.57%−1.7% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero−0.01%−0.66% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.60%+0.33% to +0.88%Clear+0.53%+0.36% to +0.70%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.0%+0.73% to +1.3%Clear+0.67%+0.47% to +0.87%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.13%−0.46% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%−0.07% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.81%−3.5% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−0.73%−2.8% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.08%−0.75% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.70% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.34%−0.59% to −0.10%Tentative−0.07%−0.31% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.10%−0.08% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero−0.01%−0.14% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure a whole portfolioWhat if? Move a force