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WFC vs BBY · data through Oct 2, 2026

WFC and BBY clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is short-term rates: in weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points, WFC typically moved +0.57% and BBY −5.4%.

Economic forceWFCWells FargoBBYBest Buy
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.7%−3.0% to −0.47%Tentative−1.8%−3.3% to −0.16%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+6.8%+3.6% to +10.0%Clear+3.2%−1.3% to +7.6%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.82%−1.1% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.42%−1.9% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.66%−1.5% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero−0.23%−1.9% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−4.9%−8.3% to −1.5%Tentative−4.0%−7.2% to −0.72%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage pointsClear difference+0.57%−1.5% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero−5.4%−8.2% to −2.6%Clear
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.5%−2.5% to −0.43%Tentative−1.1%−2.8% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.6%+0.37% to +2.9%Tentative+1.3%−0.67% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.2%−2.0% to −0.43%Tentative−0.47%−1.5% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.17%−0.54% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−0.75% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.04%−0.10% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.07% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.57%−1.7% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero−0.57%−1.4% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.60%+0.33% to +0.88%Clear+0.69%+0.28% to +1.1%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.0%+0.73% to +1.3%Clear+0.74%+0.38% to +1.1%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.13%−0.46% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero−0.36%−1.1% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.81%−3.5% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−4.1% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.08%−0.75% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero+0.27%−1.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.34%−0.59% to −0.10%Tentative+0.20%−0.37% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.10%−0.08% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−0.26% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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