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UNH vs SOXL · data through Oct 2, 2026

UNH and SOXL clearly differ on 5 of 19 forces. The widest gap is euro: in weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar, UNH typically moved +5.8% and SOXL −4.5%.

Economic forceUNHUnitedHealth GroupSOXLDirexion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+2.0%−1.4% to +5.3%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%−3.7% to +6.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−4.9%−11.7% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−3.7%−12.6% to +5.2%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−1.6%−3.7% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero−1.5%−6.1% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.89%−2.0% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero+0.13%−2.3% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.8%−6.4% to +0.71%Not distinguishable from zero−3.1%−11.8% to +5.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.86%−1.9% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero+5.0%−0.30% to +10.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+1.1%−1.7% to +3.9%Not distinguishable from zero−0.35%−3.8% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−1.4%−4.0% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.83%−2.4% to +4.0%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+1.2%−0.61% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero−0.77%−3.4% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+1.3%−0.07% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.33%−1.4% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.07%+0.02% to +0.12%Tentative+0.02%−0.03% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.24%−0.76% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+1.4%−0.90% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.61%+0.11% to +1.1%Tentative+0.79%−0.05% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.74%+0.30% to +1.2%Tentative−1.3%−2.1% to −0.57%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.43%−1.0% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero+4.0%+3.1% to +4.9%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference+5.8%+1.6% to +10.0%Tentative−4.5%−10.1% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.24%−1.2% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−2.1%−5.0% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.29%−0.70% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero+3.3%+2.4% to +4.1%Clear
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.06%−0.12% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−1.9% to −0.32%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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