Compare two stocks
UNH and AMAT clearly differ on 4 of 19 forces. The widest gap is euro: in weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar, UNH typically moved +5.8% and AMAT −3.2%.
| Economic force | UNHUnitedHealth Group | AMATApplied Materials |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +2.0%−1.4% to +5.3%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.6%+0.05% to +3.1%Tentative |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | −4.9%−11.7% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.7%−6.6% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −1.6%−3.7% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.84%−2.9% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.89%−2.0% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.51%−1.8% to +0.80%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −2.8%−6.4% to +0.71%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.35%−4.2% to +3.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.86%−1.9% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero | +4.1%+1.3% to +6.9%Tentative |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +1.1%−1.7% to +3.9%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.84%−3.0% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.4%−4.0% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.02%−1.5% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +1.2%−0.61% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.31%−1.4% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +1.3%−0.07% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.58%−0.34% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference | +0.07%+0.02% to +0.12%Tentative | −0.01%−0.05% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | +0.24%−0.76% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.14%−1.0% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.61%+0.11% to +1.1%Tentative | +0.48%−0.16% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.74%+0.30% to +1.2%Tentative | −0.09%−0.64% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference | −0.43%−1.0% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.8%+1.3% to +2.4%Clear |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference | +5.8%+1.6% to +10.0%Tentative | −3.2%−6.6% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.24%−1.2% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.81%−2.2% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference | −0.29%−0.70% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.3%+0.89% to +1.6%Clear |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.06%−0.12% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.39%−0.72% to −0.06%Tentative |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.