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ULTA vs GEN · data through Oct 2, 2026

ULTA and GEN clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is short-term rates: in weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points, ULTA typically moved −5.0% and GEN +0.11%.

ULTAGENBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceULTAUlta BeautyGENGen Digital
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.0%−4.7% to −1.3%Clear−1.9%−3.7% to −0.09%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.73%−2.7% to +4.2%Not distinguishable from zero+2.2%−1.2% to +5.6%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−1.7%−3.6% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero−2.3%−4.5% to −0.13%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.91%−1.7% to −0.13%Tentative+0.30%−1.4% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−7.2%−10.9% to −3.5%Clear−5.8%−9.6% to −2.0%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage pointsClear difference−5.0%−7.9% to −2.1%Tentative+0.11%−2.0% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.21%−1.1% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.48%−0.79% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.1%−0.53% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero−0.85%−2.7% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.05%−1.4% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.18%−0.69% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.34%−1.2% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero−0.26%−1.1% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.03% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.05% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.26%−1.1% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero−0.30%−1.1% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.19%−0.21% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero+0.19%−0.17% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point−0.26%−0.64% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero+0.38%+0.05% to +0.71%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.46%−0.93% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−0.79%−1.2% to −0.38%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.1%−2.6% to +4.9%Not distinguishable from zero+1.5%−1.0% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.52%−2.1% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.01%−1.3% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.32%−0.68% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.53%−1.0% to −0.10%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.02%−0.21% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero+0.15%−0.04% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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