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UBER vs CAT · data through Oct 2, 2026

UBER and CAT clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is value vs growth: in weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point, UBER typically moved −0.29% and CAT +0.71%.

Economic forceUBERUberCATCaterpillar Inc.
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.19%−1.6% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−2.2% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+4.8%+1.0% to +8.7%Tentative+3.2%−0.21% to +6.6%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.95%−3.0% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.81%−2.4% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.85%−1.8% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero−0.28%−1.3% to +0.73%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.71%−3.7% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−3.7% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.0%−2.1% to +4.0%Not distinguishable from zero+2.3%+0.23% to +4.3%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.25%−1.1% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.12%−1.0% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−1.2%−3.4% to +0.94%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−2.6% to −0.20%Tentative
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.4%−2.3% to −0.46%Tentative−0.37%−1.3% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.47%−1.3% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero−0.18%−0.82% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.02%−0.05% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.06% to −0.01%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.22%−0.76% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.27%−1.1% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.20%−0.62% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero+0.72%+0.50% to +0.94%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.29%−0.70% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero+0.71%+0.42% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.23%−0.32% to +0.79%Not distinguishable from zero+0.61%+0.19% to +1.0%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.76%−4.4% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero−2.2%−5.1% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.3%−0.04% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.16%−1.0% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.19%−0.55% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero+0.60%+0.26% to +0.93%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.10%−0.31% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero−0.19%−0.49% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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