UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

Compare two stocks

UAL vs LULU · data through Oct 2, 2026

UAL and LULU clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is small vs large companies: in weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point, UAL typically moved +1.2% and LULU −0.04%.

UALLULUBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceUALUnited Airlines HoldingsLULULululemon Athletica
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.55%−1.4% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.61%−2.4% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+5.0%−0.29% to +10.3%Not distinguishable from zero+5.6%+0.87% to +10.2%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+3.0%+0.37% to +5.7%Tentative−0.11%−2.6% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−4.9%−6.6% to −3.3%Clear−3.4%−4.7% to −2.2%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−4.6%−8.4% to −0.89%Tentative−3.7%−7.9% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.1%−5.1% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero−3.2%−6.0% to −0.47%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−3.3%−5.0% to −1.5%Clear−1.0%−2.6% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+3.5%+1.5% to +5.6%Tentative−0.01%−2.1% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.30%−1.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−1.5% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.86%−0.33% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.50%−0.25% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.05%−0.10% to 0.00%Tentative−0.06%−0.11% to −0.02%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.47%−1.7% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero+0.69%−0.24% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.2%+0.72% to +1.7%Clear−0.04%−0.60% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.1%+0.57% to +1.5%Clear−0.03%−0.71% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.20%−0.37% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero−0.55%−0.92% to −0.18%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.7%−5.4% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−4.1% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.14%−1.5% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.08%−1.4% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.15%−0.30% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero−0.25%−0.65% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.07%−0.23% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero+0.06%−0.17% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure UAL and LULU togetherWhat if? Move a force

Your portfolio, measured the same way

Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.