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TT vs NRG · data through Oct 2, 2026

TT and NRG clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is euro: in weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar, TT typically moved −2.8% and NRG −9.3%.

TTNRGBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceTTTrane TechnologiesNRGNRG Energy
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.51%−0.56% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.16%−1.9% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−4.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−5.7% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.23%−1.6% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.41%−3.6% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.37%−1.0% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero+0.22%−1.4% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+2.7%+0.08% to +5.4%Tentative+1.8%−1.6% to +5.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+3.7%+1.7% to +5.7%Clear+2.7%−0.48% to +5.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 pointsClear difference+0.30%−0.69% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−2.8%−4.5% to −1.0%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.85%−2.0% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−3.3% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.4%−2.2% to −0.52%Tentative−0.66%−2.5% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.58%−1.6% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero−0.77%−2.0% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.01%−0.03% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.07% to 0.00%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.23%−0.94% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero−0.54%−1.7% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.10%−0.12% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero+0.34%−0.12% to +0.80%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.21%−0.05% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero+0.24%−0.12% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.38%+0.09% to +0.67%Tentative+1.3%+0.64% to +2.0%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference−2.8%−5.1% to −0.55%Tentative−9.3%−12.6% to −6.0%Clear
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.62%−1.5% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero−0.95%−2.3% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.03%−0.28% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero+0.48%−0.05% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.12%−0.28% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.37% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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