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TSN vs ITW · data through Oct 2, 2026

TSN and ITW clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is natural gas: in weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%, TSN typically moved +0.01% and ITW −0.03%.

TSNITWBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceTSNTyson FoodsITWIllinois Tool Works
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.55%−1.4% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero−0.41%−1.0% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.62%−2.5% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.62%−1.1% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−1.2%−2.6% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero−0.81%−1.8% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.85%−1.6% to −0.09%Tentative−0.87%−1.3% to −0.39%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−3.6% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero−1.9%−3.3% to −0.46%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.2%−2.8% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero−0.86%−2.1% to +0.39%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.89%−1.7% to −0.07%Tentative−0.08%−0.67% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.53%−0.65% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.28%−1.0% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.07%−0.94% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.56% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.03%−0.69% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%−0.14% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference+0.01%0.00% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.05% to −0.01%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.09%−0.95% to +0.77%Not distinguishable from zero−0.35%−1.0% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.38%+0.12% to +0.64%Tentative+0.54%+0.38% to +0.71%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.79%+0.59% to +1.0%Clear+0.83%+0.62% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.31%−0.57% to −0.04%Tentative−0.43%−0.66% to −0.20%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.36%−1.7% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.22%−1.7% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.81%+0.13% to +1.5%Tentative+0.18%−0.50% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.20%−0.49% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−0.20% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.03%−0.12% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero+0.13%+0.03% to +0.24%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.