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TSLA vs CB · data through Oct 2, 2026

TSLA and CB clearly differ on 4 of 19 forces. The widest gap is market volatility: in weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points, TSLA typically moved +1.0% and CB −1.6%.

Economic forceTSLATesla, Inc.CBChubb Limited
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.79%−3.1% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.37%−1.1% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−0.19%−7.5% to +7.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.83%−2.6% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.3%−1.6% to +4.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.79%−0.22% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.25%−1.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.13%−0.75% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.76%−3.8% to +5.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.15%−1.6% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.21%−4.0% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.17%−0.94% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 pointsClear difference+1.0%−0.68% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−2.1% to −1.0%Clear
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.0%−1.3% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.48%−1.2% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.80%−0.51% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.39%−1.1% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.24%−1.2% to +0.74%Not distinguishable from zero+0.15%−0.38% to +0.68%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.09% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero−0.01%−0.02% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%Clear difference+1.6%+0.25% to +3.0%Tentative−0.48%−1.1% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.01%−0.66% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero+0.21%+0.04% to +0.38%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference−1.2%−1.8% to −0.66%Clear+0.78%+0.61% to +0.95%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.11%−0.57% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero−0.38%−0.59% to −0.16%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.5%−5.2% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.36%−1.7% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.28%−1.7% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.56%−1.2% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.43%−0.03% to +0.89%Not distinguishable from zero−0.32%−0.59% to −0.05%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.08%−0.21% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%+0.05% to +0.34%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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