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TRV vs MSI · data through Oct 2, 2026

TRV and MSI clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is value vs growth: in weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point, TRV typically moved +0.77% and MSI +0.33%.

TRVMSIBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceTRVTravelers Companies (The)MSIMotorola Solutions
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−1.8% to −0.37%Tentative−1.0%−2.3% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.04%−2.4% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.41%−1.8% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.89%−0.48% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.81%−0.48% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.13%−0.75% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.14%−0.64% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.50%−2.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.19%−2.4% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.25%−1.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.44%−1.7% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.5%−2.2% to −0.72%Clear−0.59%−1.4% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.15%−1.1% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero−0.70%−1.6% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.27%−1.0% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero+0.52%−0.25% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.11%−0.55% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero−0.29%−0.87% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.02% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−0.01%−0.03% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.43%−1.1% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero−0.25%−0.79% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.30%+0.07% to +0.52%Tentative+0.03%−0.21% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.77%+0.53% to +1.0%Clear+0.33%+0.15% to +0.51%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.32%−0.55% to −0.09%Tentative−0.24%−0.60% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.78%−2.6% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−3.2% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.03%−0.71% to +0.77%Not distinguishable from zero+0.52%−0.22% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.44%−0.70% to −0.19%Tentative−0.44%−0.81% to −0.08%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.14%−0.02% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero+0.06%−0.13% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure TRV and MSI togetherWhat if? Move a force

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