Compare two stocks
On none of the 19 forces measured do TRV and HIG differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | TRVTravelers Companies (The) | HIGHartford (The) |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.1%−1.8% to −0.37%Tentative | −1.0%−1.9% to −0.01%Tentative |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.04%−2.4% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.83%−1.0% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | +0.89%−0.48% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.29%−0.88% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | +0.13%−0.75% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.02%−0.70% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −0.50%−2.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.10%−2.1% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.25%−1.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.0%−0.42% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −1.5%−2.2% to −0.72%Clear | −1.0%−1.8% to −0.28%Tentative |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.15%−1.1% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.02%−0.89% to +0.84%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.27%−1.0% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.59%−1.2% to −0.02%Tentative |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | −0.11%−0.55% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.22%−0.64% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | +0.01%−0.02% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.02%−0.05% to 0.00%Tentative |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.43%−1.1% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.51%−1.2% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.30%+0.07% to +0.52%Tentative | +0.39%+0.15% to +0.62%Tentative |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.77%+0.53% to +1.0%Clear | +0.90%+0.74% to +1.1%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.32%−0.55% to −0.09%Tentative | −0.44%−0.64% to −0.24%Clear |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.78%−2.6% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.78%−2.5% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.03%−0.71% to +0.77%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.45%−0.27% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.44%−0.70% to −0.19%Tentative | −0.46%−0.69% to −0.22%Clear |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.14%−0.02% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.22%+0.09% to +0.36%Tentative |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.