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TRGP vs PSX · data through Oct 2, 2026

TRGP and PSX clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is momentum: in weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point, TRGP typically moved +0.18% and PSX −0.52%.

TRGPPSXBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceTRGPTarga ResourcesPSXPhillips 66
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−2.6% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero−0.55%−2.2% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.5%−1.1% to +6.2%Not distinguishable from zero+1.1%−2.8% to +4.9%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.08%−2.1% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−1.8% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+2.8%+1.5% to +4.1%Clear+3.5%+2.6% to +4.4%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.3%−4.2% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−4.3% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.22%−2.6% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−2.4% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−2.6%−3.9% to −1.3%Clear−1.5%−2.7% to −0.35%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+2.1%+0.88% to +3.4%Tentative+0.17%−1.0% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.11%−1.2% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.79%−1.9% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.60%−0.25% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.26%−0.52% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.03% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.02% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.26%−1.3% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero−0.59%−1.5% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.53%+0.11% to +0.94%Tentative+0.72%+0.40% to +1.0%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.93%+0.57% to +1.3%Clear+1.2%+1.0% to +1.4%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.18%−0.14% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero−0.52%−0.83% to −0.21%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−3.6%−6.4% to −0.79%Tentative−2.5%−4.9% to −0.21%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.50%−1.5% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.34%−1.2% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.05%−0.45% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero−0.06%−0.50% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.05%−0.10% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero+0.11%−0.11% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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