UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

Compare two stocks

TRGP vs OKE · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do TRGP and OKE differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

TRGPOKEBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceTRGPTarga ResourcesOKEOneok
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−2.6% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero−0.89%−2.3% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.5%−1.1% to +6.2%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−1.9% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.08%−2.1% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−1.0% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+2.8%+1.5% to +4.1%Clear+2.7%+1.7% to +3.8%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.3%−4.2% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−3.9% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.22%−2.6% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.05%−2.1% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−2.6%−3.9% to −1.3%Clear−2.1%−3.5% to −0.72%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+2.1%+0.88% to +3.4%Tentative+0.88%−0.56% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.11%−1.2% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.53%−1.7% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.60%−0.25% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.27%−0.47% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.03% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%+0.01% to +0.07%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.26%−1.3% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero−0.66%−1.7% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.53%+0.11% to +0.94%Tentative+0.62%+0.26% to +1.0%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.93%+0.57% to +1.3%Clear+1.0%+0.76% to +1.3%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.18%−0.14% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−0.29% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−3.6%−6.4% to −0.79%Tentative−4.0%−6.5% to −1.6%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.50%−1.5% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.38%−1.3% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.05%−0.45% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero−0.26%−0.60% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.05%−0.10% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero+0.07%−0.10% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure TRGP and OKE togetherWhat if? Move a force

Your portfolio, measured the same way

Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.