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TMUS vs CL · data through Oct 2, 2026

TMUS and CL clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is natural gas: in weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%, TMUS typically moved −0.02% and CL +0.02%.

TMUSCLBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceTMUST-Mobile USCLColgate-Palmolive
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.69%−2.0% to +0.67%Not distinguishable from zero−0.82%−1.6% to −0.07%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.06%−2.5% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.57%−1.3% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−1.2%−2.7% to +0.39%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−2.3% to −0.41%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.11%−1.0% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero−0.67%−1.1% to −0.20%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+1.7%−1.0% to +4.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.81%−1.3% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.8%−0.23% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−2.6% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.52%−1.7% to +0.70%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−0.73% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.34%−0.84% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−0.71% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.30%−1.1% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero+0.63%−0.05% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.01%−0.62% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero+0.15%−0.39% to +0.68%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference−0.02%−0.03% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%+0.01% to +0.03%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.38%−1.1% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero−0.55%−1.0% to −0.08%Tentative
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point−0.05%−0.37% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−0.12% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.33%+0.04% to +0.62%Tentative+0.53%+0.38% to +0.67%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.14%−0.44% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero−0.45%−0.64% to −0.26%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.0%−3.3% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero+1.8%+0.11% to +3.6%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.1%+0.26% to +1.9%Tentative+0.42%−0.26% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.18%−0.44% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero−0.21%−0.36% to −0.05%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.11%−0.07% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−0.17% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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