Compare two stocks
On none of the 19 forces measured do TGT and USB differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | TGTTarget Corporation | USBU.S. Bancorp |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −2.6%−4.0% to −1.3%Clear | −2.6%−4.0% to −1.2%Clear |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +5.9%+2.6% to +9.3%Clear | +5.9%+3.1% to +8.7%Clear |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −2.2%−4.5% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.90%−2.3% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.28%−1.4% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.59%−1.3% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −4.2%−6.5% to −2.0%Clear | −3.0%−5.2% to −0.72%Tentative |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −3.8%−6.6% to −1.0%Tentative | −0.79%−2.6% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.63%−0.72% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.1%−1.9% to −0.28%Tentative |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +1.2%−0.17% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.62%−0.35% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.33%−1.8% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.1%−1.9% to −0.22%Tentative |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.44%−0.21% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.48%−1.1% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | −0.07%−0.10% to −0.03%Clear | −0.02%−0.08% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.12%−1.0% to +0.74%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.51%−1.4% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.76%+0.22% to +1.3%Tentative | +1.1%+0.93% to +1.3%Clear |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.70%+0.30% to +1.1%Tentative | +1.2%+1.0% to +1.3%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.42%−1.0% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.26%−0.59% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.55%−4.0% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.5%−3.6% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.86%−1.8% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.10%−0.94% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.12%−0.45% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.21%−0.43% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | −0.03%−0.20% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.04%−0.17% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.