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TGT vs KEY · data through Oct 2, 2026

TGT and KEY clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is market volatility: in weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points, TGT typically moved +0.63% and KEY −2.1%.

TGTKEYBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceTGTTarget CorporationKEYKeyCorp
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.6%−4.0% to −1.3%Clear−3.1%−4.6% to −1.7%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+5.9%+2.6% to +9.3%Clear+6.3%+3.3% to +9.4%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−2.2%−4.5% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero−0.20%−2.0% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.28%−1.4% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero−0.18%−1.0% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−4.2%−6.5% to −2.0%Clear−3.3%−6.2% to −0.46%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.8%−6.6% to −1.0%Tentative−1.2%−3.5% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 pointsClear difference+0.63%−0.72% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero−2.1%−2.9% to −1.3%Clear
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.2%−0.17% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%+0.18% to +2.3%Tentative
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.33%−1.8% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−2.2% to −0.54%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.44%−0.21% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.10%−0.79% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.07%−0.10% to −0.03%Clear−0.02%−0.07% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.12%−1.0% to +0.74%Not distinguishable from zero−0.51%−1.5% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.76%+0.22% to +1.3%Tentative+1.3%+1.1% to +1.5%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.70%+0.30% to +1.1%Tentative+1.3%+1.1% to +1.5%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.42%−1.0% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero−0.15%−0.50% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.55%−4.0% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero−2.4%−4.5% to −0.36%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.86%−1.8% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero−0.46%−1.4% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.12%−0.45% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero−0.17%−0.39% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.03%−0.20% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.14% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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