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TFC vs IVZ · data through Oct 2, 2026

TFC and IVZ clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is emerging markets: in weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point, TFC typically moved −0.21% and IVZ +0.37%.

TFCIVZBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceTFCTruist FinancialIVZInvesco
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.7%−4.0% to −1.5%Clear−2.8%−4.3% to −1.2%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+6.6%+4.1% to +9.0%Clear+7.8%+4.3% to +11.3%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.06%−1.6% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.22%−2.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.50%−1.3% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero−0.79%−1.9% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.68%−3.5% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−3.3% to +0.93%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.80%−2.7% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.24%−2.4% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.4%−2.1% to −0.76%Clear−1.0%−1.9% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.1%−0.09% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.07%−1.2% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.2%−2.0% to −0.45%Tentative−0.25%−0.91% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.03%−0.66% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero+0.53%−0.08% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.07% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−0.10% to 0.00%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.53%−1.5% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero+0.48%−0.16% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+1.0%+0.84% to +1.2%Clear+0.84%+0.51% to +1.2%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.2%+1.0% to +1.4%Clear+0.80%+0.52% to +1.1%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.33%−0.63% to −0.03%Tentative−0.14%−0.49% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−2.3%−4.3% to −0.34%Tentative−1.6%−3.8% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.10%−0.95% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero−0.13%−1.1% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.21%−0.48% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero+0.37%+0.13% to +0.62%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.11%−0.06% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero+0.11%−0.06% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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