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SYF vs COF · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do SYF and COF differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

SYFCOFBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceSYFSynchrony FinancialCOFCapital One
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−2.9% to −0.06%Tentative−1.9%−3.3% to −0.39%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+6.3%+2.7% to +9.9%Clear+5.0%+1.5% to +8.5%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.0%−0.81% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%−0.57% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.95%−1.8% to −0.09%Tentative−1.0%−1.9% to −0.10%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.5%−5.4% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero−3.5%−6.5% to −0.51%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.6%−4.1% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−2.4%−4.3% to −0.41%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−2.2%−3.1% to −1.4%Clear−1.5%−2.5% to −0.52%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.61%−0.81% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.79%−0.54% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.1%−1.9% to −0.35%Tentative−0.84%−1.6% to −0.04%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.32%−1.1% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.38%−1.0% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.06%−0.12% to 0.00%Tentative−0.10%−0.13% to −0.07%Clear
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.26%−0.58% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.59%−0.17% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+1.2%+0.94% to +1.4%Clear+0.86%+0.64% to +1.1%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.91%+0.67% to +1.1%Clear+0.75%+0.50% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.22%−0.63% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero−0.10%−0.47% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−2.0%−4.6% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−3.7% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.34%−1.2% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero−0.28%−1.1% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.19%−0.47% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero−0.18%−0.49% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.03%−0.17% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero+0.13%−0.09% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.