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SW vs IQV · data through Oct 2, 2026

SW and IQV clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is momentum: in weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point, SW typically moved +0.27% and IQV −0.92%.

SWIQVBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceSWSmurfit WestrockIQVIQVIA
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.5%−4.0% to −1.0%Clear−2.8%−4.4% to −1.3%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+5.2%+0.80% to +9.6%Tentative+4.9%+0.57% to +9.2%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−2.0%−4.5% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero−2.1%−4.0% to −0.20%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.6%−2.9% to −0.27%Tentative−1.1%−2.3% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−6.6%−10.3% to −2.8%Clear−5.9%−9.4% to −2.4%Clear
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.2%−6.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.10%−2.5% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.21%−1.3% to +0.89%Not distinguishable from zero+0.33%−0.83% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+2.0%+0.20% to +3.8%Tentative+0.61%−0.70% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+1.7%+0.40% to +3.0%Tentative+0.06%−1.2% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.89%0.00% to +1.8%Tentative+1.3%+0.61% to +2.1%Tentative
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.02% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.09% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.05%−0.89% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero+0.50%−0.87% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.4%+1.0% to +1.7%Clear+0.46%+0.08% to +0.84%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.1%+0.79% to +1.4%Clear+0.52%+0.04% to +1.0%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.27%−0.15% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero−0.92%−1.4% to −0.48%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−4.6%−7.9% to −1.3%Tentative+0.69%−2.4% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.1%−2.2% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero+0.82%−0.58% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.41%−0.05% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero−0.25%−0.90% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.09%−0.36% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero+0.22%−0.11% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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