Compare two stocks
On none of the 19 forces measured do STT and CMI differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | STTState Street Corporation | CMICummins |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.95%−1.8% to −0.04%Tentative | −1.0%−1.7% to −0.37%Tentative |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +5.5%+3.1% to +7.9%Clear | +4.3%+1.6% to +6.9%Clear |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | +0.03%−1.6% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.73%−0.73% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.54%−1.2% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.55%−1.4% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −0.44%−2.1% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.45%−2.6% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.3%−2.8% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.7%+0.20% to +3.2%Tentative |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −1.2%−1.8% to −0.50%Tentative | −0.14%−1.0% to +0.68%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.09%−0.91% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.82%−2.0% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.92%−1.5% to −0.30%Tentative | −0.51%−1.1% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | −0.02%−0.53% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.02%−0.52% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | −0.04%−0.07% to 0.00%Tentative | −0.02%−0.04% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.20%−0.85% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.13%−0.56% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.57%+0.35% to +0.78%Clear | +0.49%+0.24% to +0.75%Clear |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.79%+0.59% to +1.0%Clear | +0.52%+0.27% to +0.76%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.22%−0.55% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.46%+0.09% to +0.83%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −1.0%−3.0% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −3.5%−5.2% to −1.9%Clear |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.11%−0.72% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.61%−0.14% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.10%−0.33% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.42%+0.11% to +0.72%Tentative |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.02%−0.10% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.02%−0.24% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.