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STLD vs NTRS · data through Oct 2, 2026

STLD and NTRS clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is small vs large companies: in weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point, STLD typically moved +1.1% and NTRS +0.60%.

STLDNTRSBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceSTLDSteel DynamicsNTRSNorthern Trust
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.0%−2.9% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−2.1% to −0.12%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.6%−3.0% to +6.2%Not distinguishable from zero+1.7%−0.37% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.87%−2.8% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.38%−1.6% to +0.86%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.26%−0.82% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−0.49% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−3.9% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.87%−2.7% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.61%−2.9% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.78%−2.1% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.60%−1.6% to +0.39%Not distinguishable from zero−0.49%−1.1% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.9%+0.47% to +3.2%Tentative+0.66%−0.26% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.32%−1.5% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−1.9% to −0.35%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.59%−0.14% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.54%−1.0% to −0.12%Tentative
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.02%−0.04% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.01% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.70%−1.9% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.46%−1.1% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.1%+0.81% to +1.4%Clear+0.60%+0.44% to +0.76%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.0%+0.76% to +1.3%Clear+0.72%+0.58% to +0.86%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.12%−0.29% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero−0.24%−0.46% to −0.03%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.8%−4.2% to +0.67%Not distinguishable from zero−2.2%−3.9% to −0.53%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.76%−2.0% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−0.51% to +0.79%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.16%−0.22% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero−0.20%−0.42% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.12%−0.08% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero+0.06%−0.08% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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