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SBAC vs AMT · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do SBAC and AMT differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

SBACAMTBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceSBACSBA CommunicationsAMTAmerican Tower
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−4.0%−5.8% to −2.3%Clear−3.7%−5.0% to −2.4%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.71%−2.2% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.34%−2.4% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−3.2%−4.7% to −1.8%Clear−3.2%−4.5% to −1.9%Clear
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.45%−0.46% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.69%+0.14% to +1.2%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.13%−2.8% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.8%−1.1% to +4.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.02%−2.2% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.58%−1.4% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.60%−1.7% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero−0.35%−1.2% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.50%−0.73% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.53%−0.65% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.51%−0.56% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.27%−1.1% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.05%−0.61% to +0.70%Not distinguishable from zero+0.46%−0.46% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.05%−0.08% to −0.03%Clear−0.04%−0.07% to −0.01%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.01%−0.73% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero+0.35%−0.48% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.14%−0.24% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero+0.31%+0.08% to +0.54%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.62%+0.36% to +0.88%Clear+0.60%+0.34% to +0.86%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.40%−0.69% to −0.11%Tentative−0.24%−0.53% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.8%−4.0% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.44%−2.6% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.86%+0.04% to +1.7%Tentative+1.0%+0.35% to +1.7%Tentative
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.05%−0.37% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero−0.12%−0.37% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.11%−0.06% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero+0.11%−0.04% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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