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RTX vs AIZ · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do RTX and AIZ differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

Economic forceRTXRTX CorporationAIZAssurant
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.24%−1.4% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−0.16%−1.2% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−1.3%−4.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.47%−2.9% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.75%−0.75% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.93%−0.46% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.38%−0.51% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.12%−0.85% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.26%−2.4% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.50%−2.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.0%−2.6% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero−0.19%−1.5% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.5%−2.7% to −0.30%Tentative−1.6%−2.3% to −0.83%Clear
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.02%−1.5% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.11%−1.0% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.72%−0.27% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.46%−1.1% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.27%−0.25% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero−0.34%−0.87% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.04% to 0.00%Tentative−0.01%−0.04% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.26%−1.1% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero+0.23%−0.46% to +0.93%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.22%−0.03% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero+0.41%+0.19% to +0.63%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.74%+0.48% to +1.0%Clear+0.71%+0.54% to +0.89%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.20%−0.47% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero−0.37%−0.55% to −0.19%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.4%−3.2% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−3.1% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.27%−0.76% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.78% to +0.84%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.15%−0.38% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero−0.25%−0.49% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.13%+0.01% to +0.26%Tentative+0.24%+0.12% to +0.36%Clear
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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