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RTX vs AFL · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do RTX and AFL differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

Economic forceRTXRTX CorporationAFLAflac
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.24%−1.4% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−0.18%−1.2% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−1.3%−4.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.26%−2.4% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.75%−0.75% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.27%−0.94% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.38%−0.51% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.27%−0.32% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.26%−2.4% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.34%−1.5% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.0%−2.6% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero−0.90%−2.9% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.5%−2.7% to −0.30%Tentative−0.88%−1.4% to −0.31%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.02%−1.5% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−1.0% to +0.91%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.72%−0.27% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.66%−1.5% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.27%−0.25% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero+0.36%−0.09% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.04% to 0.00%Tentative−0.02%−0.04% to 0.00%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.26%−1.1% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero−0.74%−1.4% to −0.10%Tentative
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.22%−0.03% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero+0.25%+0.06% to +0.45%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.74%+0.48% to +1.0%Clear+0.83%+0.67% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.20%−0.47% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero−0.43%−0.61% to −0.25%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.4%−3.2% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero+0.68%−1.3% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.27%−0.76% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%−0.58% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.15%−0.38% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero−0.22%−0.50% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.13%+0.01% to +0.26%Tentative+0.33%+0.24% to +0.43%Clear
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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