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ROST vs RTX · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do ROST and RTX differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

ROSTRTXBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceROSTRoss StoresRTXRTX Corporation
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.13%−1.0% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.24%−1.4% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−2.8%−5.7% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−4.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.07%−1.9% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.75%−0.75% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.16%−0.95% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.36%−0.52% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.92%−1.7% to +3.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.25%−2.5% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.68%−2.4% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−2.6% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.64%−0.76% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero−1.5%−2.7% to −0.29%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.13%−0.86% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−1.5% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.75%−1.5% to −0.05%Tentative+0.72%−0.27% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.78%−1.5% to −0.05%Tentative+0.27%−0.25% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.03%−0.05% to −0.01%Tentative−0.02%−0.04% to 0.00%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.24%−0.72% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero−0.26%−1.1% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.22%−0.03% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero+0.22%−0.03% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.23%−0.06% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero+0.74%+0.48% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.18%−0.47% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero−0.20%−0.47% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.7%−0.38% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−3.2% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.68%−0.06% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.27%−0.76% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.41%−0.72% to −0.10%Tentative−0.16%−0.38% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.08%−0.27% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero+0.13%+0.01% to +0.26%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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