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RMD vs D · data through Oct 2, 2026

RMD and D clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is short-term rates: in weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points, RMD typically moved −4.6% and D +0.54%.

RMDDBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceRMDResMed|DDominion Energy
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−2.3% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−2.0% to −0.57%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−2.5%−6.7% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−2.7%−5.1% to −0.37%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.72%−2.1% to +0.67%Not distinguishable from zero−0.23%−1.5% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%0.00%−0.82% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero+0.28%−0.34% to +0.89%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.4%−5.5% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−3.9% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage pointsClear difference−4.6%−6.9% to −2.3%Clear+0.54%−1.3% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.51%−0.47% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−1.7% to −0.18%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.37%−0.84% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%+0.13% to +1.9%Tentative
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.01%−1.0% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.06%−0.93% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.05%−0.49% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero−0.10%−0.61% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.05% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.06% to −0.02%Clear
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.71%−1.5% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero−0.17%−0.64% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.09%−0.27% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero+0.30%+0.07% to +0.54%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.44%+0.16% to +0.73%Tentative+0.71%+0.52% to +0.90%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.70%−1.0% to −0.41%Clear−0.19%−0.46% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference+1.3%−0.59% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero−2.7%−4.2% to −1.2%Clear
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.01%−1.3% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero0.00%−0.63% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.46%−0.80% to −0.11%Tentative+0.01%−0.20% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.19%−0.10% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%0.00% to +0.19%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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